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Will Brandon Dukes win the special election to fill the Pennsylvania House of Representatives District 12 seat?

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About

A special election is currently scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the 12th district seat in the Pennsylvania House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/.

Resolution

Criteria

Resolves YES based on the official Polymarket resolution for: "Will Brandon Dukes win the special election to fill the Pennsylvania House of Representatives District 12 seat?"

Context

The special election to fill the Pennsylvania House of Representatives District 12 seat is being closely watched, with Brandon Dukes as one of the candidates. Historical base rates for special elections in Pennsylvania suggest that the party affiliation of the previous representative can be a determining factor, and key factors that will determine the outcome include voter turnout and campaign momentum. What to watch includes the performance of Dukes and his opponents in debates and campaign events leading up to the election.

Recent News

Brandon Dukes is set to face off against his opponent in the November election for the 12th District seat in Pennsylvania. A special election has been scheduled to fill the state House seat vacated by Representative Stephenie Scialabba in Butler County, which Dukes is competing in.

Closes 21d left
Resolves Aug 18, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC

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