World EventsOpen-ended

Will John Kerry be arrested before 2027?

Community says
7%YES
0 predictions
Confidence50%
1% — Unlikely50% — Coin flip99% — Certain

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution

Criteria

Resolves YES based on the official Polymarket resolution for: "Will John Kerry be arrested before 2027?"

Source

Polymarket (polymarket.com)

Closes 26865d left
No fixed resolution date

Created by @dafutr