Artificial Intelligence63d left

Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

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About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

Resolution

Criteria

Resolves YES based on the official Polymarket resolution for: "Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?"

Context

The Overall Arena Score is a benchmark used to evaluate the performance of AI models, with higher scores indicating greater capabilities. Historically, top AI models have achieved significant improvements in their scores over time, driven by advances in machine learning algorithms and computational power. To reach an Overall Arena Score of 1550 by September 30, 2026, AI models will need to demonstrate substantial progress, and key factors to watch include breakthroughs in areas like natural language processing and computer vision.

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Closes 63d left
Resolves Sep 30, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

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