Economics1937d left

Fed funds rate at end of 2031

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Resolution

Criteria

If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 1.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source

Kalshi (kalshi.com)

Context

The federal funds rate is the interest rate at which depository institutions lend and borrow reserves from each other, and it is a key tool used by the Federal Reserve to implement monetary policy. Historically, the federal funds rate has fluctuated significantly, with rates ranging from near zero during periods of economic downturn to over 20% during times of high inflation. The Federal Reserve's future decisions on the federal funds rate will depend on various factors, including inflation rates, employment levels, and economic growth, so it is important to monitor these indicators and the Fed's communications to gauge the likely trajectory of the federal funds rate by the end of 2031.

Live Chart

Recent News

The Federal Reserve is expected to hold the federal funds rate steady at its July meeting, but some experts predict a potential rate hike due to growing inflation concerns. A hawkish view is gaining traction among brokerages, suggesting the Fed may take a more aggressive stance on interest rates in the near future.

Closes 1937d left
Resolves Jan 8, 2032, 6:30 AM UTC

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