Economics2668d left

Fed funds rate at end of 2033

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Resolution

Criteria

If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 1.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source

Kalshi (kalshi.com)

Context

The federal funds rate is a key monetary policy tool used by the Federal Reserve to promote maximum employment and price stability. Historical base rates have varied significantly over the years, with the rate ranging from 0% to 20% since the 1950s. Factors such as inflation, economic growth, and labor market conditions will determine the outcome, with the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee making adjustments to the target range, and market participants should watch for statements from the Fed and economic indicators like GDP and the Consumer Price Index.

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Recent News

The Federal Reserve has decided to hold interest rates steady following its latest meeting, although three officials dissented from the decision. The move comes as part of the Fed's ongoing efforts to balance inflation and economic growth, with further guidance expected from a subsequent news conference.

Closes 2668d left
Resolves Jan 8, 2034, 6:30 AM UTC

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