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Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?

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About

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 24 12:00 PM ET to July 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution

Criteria

Resolves YES based on the official Polymarket resolution for: "Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?"

Context

Elon Musk is known for his active Twitter presence, with an average of around 15-20 tweets per day, although his tweeting frequency can vary greatly depending on current events and personal interests. The range of 420-439 tweets over an 8-day period is slightly above his historical average, and key factors that will determine the outcome include Musk's personal and professional schedule, as well as any potential controversies or announcements that may prompt him to tweet more frequently. To predict the outcome, it's essential to monitor Musk's recent tweeting patterns and watch for any significant events that may influence his Twitter activity.

Recent News

Elon Musk is facing backlash on social media after a recent tweet exchange with historian Tom Holland, and in a separate matter, a US judge has rejected his bid to set aside a verdict that found him liable for defrauding Twitter investors during his $44 billion takeover. Musk's legal troubles stem from a San Francisco jury's finding that he made false statements to Twitter investors, for which he is now seeking to appeal the verdict.

Closes 3d left
Resolves Jul 31, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC

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