Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?
About
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution
Criteria
Resolves YES based on the official Polymarket resolution for: "Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?"
Context
The Claude Opus model is a series of artificial intelligence models developed by Anthropic, with previous models showcasing significant improvements in language understanding and generation capabilities. The release of the next Claude Opus model is likely to be influenced by the company's internal development roadmap and the pace of innovation in the AI sector. To predict the release date, it is essential to watch for official announcements from Anthropic and industry trends in AI model development.
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