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Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?

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About

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Mexico, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Mexico, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar (https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Mexico resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

Resolution

Criteria

Resolves YES based on the official Polymarket resolution for: "Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?"

Context

The Bank of Mexico, also known as Banxico, sets interest rates to regulate the country's monetary policy. Historical base rates have seen fluctuations in recent years, and key factors that will determine the outcome of the interest rate decision include Mexico's inflation rate, economic growth, and global economic trends. To predict the outcome of the September 2026 meeting, it is essential to watch the Bank of Mexico's announcements and statements in the preceding months, as well as Mexico's economic indicators such as GDP growth and inflation numbers.

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Closes 58d left
Resolves Sep 24, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC

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