Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
About
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Resolution
Criteria
Resolves YES based on the official Polymarket resolution for: "Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?"
Context
The Civic Platform is a Russian political party founded by Mikhail Prokhorov in 2012, and its performance in the next parliamentary election will depend on various factors, including the party's popularity and the overall political landscape in Russia. Historical base rates suggest that the ruling United Russia party has dominated parliamentary elections, but Civic Platform has been gaining ground in recent years. To predict the outcome, it's essential to watch the party's campaign strategy and the response of Russian voters to its policies.
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Discussion
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