World Events3442d left

Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?

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Resolution

Criteria

If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Dec 31, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source

Kalshi (kalshi.com)

Context

California is prone to powerful earthquakes due to its location on the San Andreas Fault, with significant seismic activity expected in the coming years. The state has a long history of major earthquakes, including the 1906 San Francisco earthquake and the 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake. Researchers and experts closely monitor seismic activity in the region

Recent News

Scientists are warning that the stress on the San Andreas Fault in Southern California has reached a 1,000-year high, increasing the risk of a major earthquake. Additionally, researchers are highlighting the potential threat of "supershear" earthquakes, which could have devastating consequences for the state.

Closes 3442d left
Resolves Dec 31, 2035, 3:00 PM UTC

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