Space~23y left
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
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Resolution
Criteria
If humans have a self-sufficient colony of at least 10 people reside on Mars for at least one Earth year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source
Kalshi (kalshi.com)
Context
Space agencies and private companies have been working towards establishing a human settlement on Mars, with NASA's Artemis program and SpaceX's Starship project being notable examples. Establishing a self-sufficient colony on the planet is a complex task that requires significant technological advancements and infrastructure development. Recent breakthroughs in life support systems and propulsion technologies have brought the prospect of Mars colonization closer to reality.
Recent News
- Humans Will Never Colonize Mars — And Elon Musk Knows It - Truthdig
Truthdig
- The Mars Delusion - Noema Magazine
Noema Magazine
- How Much Is SpaceX Really Worth? - The New York Times
The New York Times
Closes ~23y left
Resolves Jan 1, 2050, 3:00 PM UTC
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