Economics2406d left

US real GDP growth in 2032?

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Resolution

Criteria

If the United States real GDP growth in 2032 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source

Kalshi (kalshi.com)

Context

The United States real GDP growth rate has historically averaged around 2-3% per year, but has experienced significant fluctuations in recent decades, with factors such as government policy, technological innovation, and global economic trends playing a major role in determining the outcome. To predict the 2032 growth rate, it will be essential to monitor key indicators such as consumer spending, business investment, and labor market trends, as well as watch for potential disruptions such as geopolitical conflicts or environmental disasters. The Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions and the overall health of the global economy will also be important factors to consider.

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Closes 2406d left
Resolves Feb 28, 2033, 3:00 PM UTC

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