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When will humanity discover extraterrestrial life?

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Resolution

Criteria

This market resolves YES if, before January 1, 2050, a peer-reviewed scientific publication or official announcement from a recognized scientific institution presents evidence of biological life originating beyond Earth and that finding is subsequently accepted by the majority of experts in the fields of astrobiology and planetary science. Evidence may include living organisms, fossilized organisms, or biological processes that cannot reasonably be attributed to contamination from Earth. This market resolves NO if no such finding achieves broad scientific acceptance before the resolution date.

Source

Community / Creator

Recent News

Renowned film director Steven Spielberg is predicting that humanity will discover extraterrestrial life within our lifetime, sparking renewed interest in the search for alien life. Spielberg's prediction, as reported by multiple outlets, suggests that a major breakthrough in the discovery of extraterrestrial life may be imminent, although no specific timeline or evidence has been provided.

Closes ~23y left
Resolves Jan 1, 2050, 12:00 AM UTC

Created by @goodj0rb

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