Fed funds rate at end of 2034
Resolution
Criteria
If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 1.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source
Kalshi (kalshi.com)
Context
The federal funds rate is set by the Federal Reserve, with its current target range influencing the overall monetary policy and economy. Historical base rates have varied significantly, with the rate ranging from 0% to 20% since the 1970s, and key factors that will determine the outcome include inflation rates, unemployment, and economic growth. Watching the Fed's official statements, inflation reports, and GDP growth will be essential for predicting the rate at the end of 2034.
Live Chart
Recent News
The Federal Reserve is expected to hold the fed funds rate steady in its July meeting, but some experts predict a potential rate hike due to persisting inflation concerns. A growing number of brokerages are adopting a hawkish view, suggesting that the Fed may take a more aggressive stance on interest rates in the near future.
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