Politics155d left

Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?

Make a prediction

About

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution

Criteria

Resolves YES based on the official Polymarket resolution for: "Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?"

Context

Emmanuel Macron is the current President of France, having been elected in 2017 and re-elected in 2022. His term is set to end in 2027, but his presidency has been marked by controversy and challenges, including the Yellow Vest protests and ongoing pension reform debates, which could potentially impact his ability to complete his term. Key factors that will determine the outcome include domestic politics, approval ratings, and potential scandals or crises that may arise,

Recent News

Closes 155d left
Resolves Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

Discussion

Sign in to join the discussion.