Will the US lose jobs in July?
About
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for July 2026, scheduled to be released on August 7, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Resolution
Criteria
Resolves YES based on the official Polymarket resolution for: "Will the US lose jobs in July?"
Context
The US labor market has been experiencing steady growth, with the unemployment rate hovering around historic lows, however, recent economic indicators suggest a potential slowdown, key factors that will determine the outcome include the latest jobs report and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions, investors should watch for the Bureau of Labor Statistics' employment situation report. The US economy has added jobs consistently over the past year, but inflation and interest rates may impact future growth. The market will be closely watching the official employment numbers for July to determine if the trend continues.
Recent News
The US jobs report for June showed a slowdown in job creation with only 57,000 new payrolls, while the unemployment rate remained at 4.2%. The recent data has set the stage for the upcoming July jobs report, which is eagerly anticipated for insights into the current state of the labor market.
Discussion
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