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Will Phil Scott win the 2026 Vermont Governor Republican primary election?

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About

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Resolution

Criteria

Resolves YES based on the official Polymarket resolution for: "Will Phil Scott win the 2026 Vermont Governor Republican primary election?"

Context

Phil Scott, the current Governor of Vermont, has been a Republican incumbent since 2017 and his decision to run for re-election will significantly impact the 2026 Vermont Governor Republican primary election. Historical base rates suggest that incumbent governors have a high chance of winning their party's primary, and key factors that will determine the outcome include Scott's approval ratings, campaign fundraising, and any potential challengers. To watch for the outcome, monitor Scott's campaign announcements and primary election polls in Vermont.

Recent News

Vermont Governor Phil Scott is currently running for reelection and has recently vetoed the state legislature's latest healthcare reform attempt, while also signing a data privacy bill into law. Governor Scott's actions reflect his ongoing efforts to shape the state's healthcare and technology policies as he seeks another term in office.

Closes 13d left
Resolves Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

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