Will Márcio França win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
About
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolution
Criteria
Resolves YES based on the official Polymarket resolution for: "Will Márcio França win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?"
Context
Márcio França is a Brazilian politician who has previously served as the Governor of São Paulo from 2018 to 2019. The outcome of the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election will depend on various factors, including França's popularity, the performance of his party, and the overall political landscape in Brazil. Key events to watch include opinion polls, party conventions, and the official campaign period, which will likely start in the months leading up to the election.
Recent News
Márcio França, the current governor of São Paulo, has faced controversy and criticism for welcoming a Hezbollah official and making other comments, prompting a letter of condemnation and an apology. The gubernatorial race in São Paulo is also heating up, as other candidates such as Fernando Haddad's exit marks the beginning of the election season.
Discussion
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