Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity. The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify. The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution
Criteria
Resolves YES based on the official Polymarket resolution for: "Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?"
Context
Marco Rubio is a U.S. Senator from Florida and a prominent figure in foreign policy discussions, with a history of skepticism towards diplomatic agreements with Iran. The outcome of a potential U.S.-Iran deal will depend on various factors, including the terms of the agreement and the level of support from other lawmakers. To determine the likelihood of Senator Rubio's signature, it's essential to monitor his public statements and the overall progress of negotiations between the two countries.
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