Economics1207d left

Fed funds rate at end of 2029

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Resolution

Criteria

If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 1.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source

Kalshi (kalshi.com)

Context

The federal funds rate is a key monetary policy tool used by the Federal Reserve to influence the US economy, with historical base rates ranging from 0% to 20% since its inception. The Fed's decisions on interest rates are influenced by factors such as inflation, employment, and economic growth, and key data releases to watch include the Consumer Price Index and the monthly jobs report. As of now, the Fed's rate decisions will be closely watched by market participants in the lead-up to 2029, particularly in response to any changes in the economic outlook.

Live Chart

Recent News

The Federal Reserve has held interest rates steady and removed language from its statement that suggested a potential rate cut, indicating a neutral stance. As of now, the Fed's decision has been made, but officials are split on the outlook for interest rates over the next five years, including 2029.

Closes 1207d left
Resolves Jan 8, 2030, 6:30 AM UTC

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