Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
Resolution
Criteria
If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source
Kalshi (kalshi.com)
Context
California is prone to earthquakes due to its location on the San Andreas Fault, with major quakes occurring in recent history, and ongoing seismic activity is a major concern for residents and experts alike, with many warning of a potential massive quake in the near future, the state has been experiencing increased seismic activity in recent years
Recent News
Scientists are warning that "supershear" earthquakes pose a significant threat to California, while the state is currently experiencing relentless earthquake swarms and recent magnitude 5.7 and 5.1 tremors. These events have raised concerns about the potential for a major earthquake, often referred to as the "Big One", to occur in California.
- 'Supershear' earthquakes a major threat to California, say scientists - USC Dornsife
USC Dornsife
- Relentless earthquake swarms rattle California. What does that mean for the Big One? - Los Angeles Times
Los Angeles Times
- Magnitude 5.7 and 5.1 earthquakes shake California. Here's where - The Desert Sun
The Desert Sun
Discussion
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