Economics14d left

Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?

Make a prediction

About

This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

Resolution

Criteria

Resolves YES based on the official Polymarket resolution for: "Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?"

Context

The official inflation rate is typically measured by the Consumer Price Index, which is released monthly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Historical base rates show that monthly inflation rates can be volatile, with periods of flat or even negative growth, and key factors such as energy prices, food costs, and housing market trends will determine the outcome. To gauge the likelihood of monthly inflation staying flat, it's essential to watch the upcoming economic indicators and reports, particularly the CPI release for July.

Live Chart

Recent News

Closes 14d left
Resolves Aug 12, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC

Discussion

Sign in to join the discussion.