Will Scott DesJarlais be the TN-04 Republican nominee?
About
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolution
Criteria
Resolves YES based on the official Polymarket resolution for: "Will Scott DesJarlais be the TN-04 Republican nominee?"
Context
Scott DesJarlais is a U.S. Representative for Tennessee's 4th congressional district and has been the incumbent since 2011. The Tennessee Republican primary is typically held in August and the outcome will depend on DesJarlais's performance in the primary election, where key factors such as fundraising, voter turnout, and opponent strength will play a crucial role. To determine the outcome of this market, one should watch the primary election results and any updates on DesJarlais's campaign.
Recent News
Representative Scott DesJarlais is facing a challenge from well-funded opponent Blair Walsingham Cortese in the Tennessee primary, with recent campaign finance reports showing a significant donation haul for Cortese. The primary is taking place under a newly redrawn congressional map in Tennessee, which may impact the outcome of the election.
Discussion
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