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Will the government shut down by Oct. 1?

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Government shutdown by Oct. 1?

Resolution

Criteria

Resolves per PredictIt rules for: "Will the government shut down by Oct. 1?"

Source

PredictIt (predictit.org)

Context

The possibility of a government shutdown by October 1 depends on the ability of Congress to pass a new spending bill or a continuing resolution to fund federal agencies. Historical base rates suggest that shutdowns are relatively rare, with the most recent one occurring in 2018-2019, but the current political landscape and disagreements over budget priorities increase the likelihood of a shutdown. Key factors to watch include negotiations between Democratic and Republican lawmakers, as well as the willingness of the Biden administration to compromise on spending levels.

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Closes ~73y left
No fixed resolution date

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