Will the government shut down by Oct. 1?
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Government shutdown by Oct. 1?
Resolution
Criteria
Resolves per PredictIt rules for: "Will the government shut down by Oct. 1?"
Source
PredictIt (predictit.org)
Context
The possibility of a government shutdown by October 1 depends on the ability of Congress to pass a new spending bill or a continuing resolution to fund federal agencies. Historical base rates suggest that shutdowns are relatively rare, with the most recent one occurring in 2018-2019, but the current political landscape and disagreements over budget priorities increase the likelihood of a shutdown. Key factors to watch include negotiations between Democratic and Republican lawmakers, as well as the willingness of the Biden administration to compromise on spending levels.
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