Economics1572d left

Fed funds rate at end of 2030

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Resolution

Criteria

If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 1.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source

Kalshi (kalshi.com)

Context

The federal funds rate is a key monetary policy tool used by the Federal Reserve to promote maximum employment and price stability. Historical base rates have varied significantly, with the rate ranging from 0% to 20% since 1971, and key factors that will determine the outcome include inflation, employment numbers, and overall economic growth, so it's essential to watch for updates on these indicators. The Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee meetings will be crucial to monitor, as they will provide insights into the Fed's future policy decisions.

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Recent News

The Federal Reserve is expected to hold the fed funds rate steady at its July meeting, according to most brokerages, but a growing number of experts predict a hawkish tone from the central bank. Experts are closely watching the Fed's decision, with some predicting a potential rate hike in the near future amid ongoing economic uncertainty.

Closes 1572d left
Resolves Jan 8, 2031, 6:30 AM UTC

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