Politics155d left

Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027?

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About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resolution

Criteria

Resolves YES based on the official Polymarket resolution for: "Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027?"

Context

Stefan Brodie is a figure associated with the January 6th US Capitol storming, and Donald Trump has been known to issue pardons to individuals with ties to his administration or supporters, with a historical base rate of pardoning around 1 in 5 clemency requests during his presidency, the outcome will depend on Trump's political calculus and the extent to which Brodie's case resonates with him, to stay informed, watch for reports on Trump's pardon decisions and Brodie's legal proceedings. Trump's pardon power is a key factor that will determine the outcome. The official Polymarket resolution will be closely watched for updates on this market.

Recent News

Stefan Brodie has not been mentioned in recent pardon headlines, instead, reports have highlighted billionaire brothers and various donors who have contributed to President Trump's initiatives, including a White House ballroom donor. The donors, some of whom have paid to dine with President Trump, have sparked interest in potential pardon-hunting activities, although no direct connection to Stefan Brodie has been reported.

Closes 155d left
Resolves Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

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