Space~43y left

When will humanity establish a self-sustaining settlement beyond earth?

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Resolution

Criteria

This market resolves YES if, before January 1, 2070, a permanent human settlement exists on a celestial body other than Earth and remains continuously inhabited for at least five years while producing a majority of its own food, water, oxygen, and energy locally. The settlement must be capable of surviving for at least one year without resupply from Earth. This market resolves NO if no such settlement exists before the resolution date.

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Recent News

Establishing a self-sustaining settlement beyond Earth is being explored through various means, including making Martian soil fertile for crops and developing governance layers for interplanetary settlements. However, biological hurdles such as the effects of zero gravity on human reproduction, particularly sperm navigation, pose significant challenges to long-term off-Earth settlement.

Closes ~43y left
Resolves Jan 1, 2070, 12:00 AM UTC

Created by @goodj0rb

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